Category Archives: central banks

Protect Your Savings, Learn from Foreign Central Banks and the Super Rich

In uncertain economic times as these when U.S. banks, government institutions, and the FDIC itself is nearing bankruptcy… don’t be unwise and bet on big brother to take care of you. Let’s not forget the United States of America is the world’s largest debtor nation with $10 trillion and counting amassing billions in interest daily.

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Given America’s troubling foreign policy by which it irritates and alienates many of the nations holding its debt and Treasury bills, it won’t be long before the nations of the world and OPEC say no more and opt for other currencies over the dollar.

Be discerning and diligent to guard your hard earned assets and protect your life savings. Learn from the foreign central banks governing monetary policy of nations and the super rich, who diversify their currency reserves and are increasingly adding their holdings of gold, Euros, and Chinese yuan while dumping dollars.

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Foreign Currency Exchange Swap Lines – What Central Banks are Whispering?

In response to continued strains in short-term funding markets, Central Banks across the world have coordinated actions to significantly expand the capacity to provide U.S. dollar liquidity. Central banks publicly commit to continue to work together closely and say they are prepared to take appropriate steps as needed to address funding pressures.

This should serve to drive up the value of the dollar on the short-term (for a month or so) until fear and panic eventually take hold and Central Banks one by one begin dumping dollars.

That being said, there are some short-term possible gains for those who invest in the dollar and substantial long-term gains for those who sell dollars while they are high and opt to invest and protect their savings in strong currencies such as the Euro and Chinese yuan. Of course a safe haven for consumers and investors with less intestinal fortitude would be gold.

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The U.S. Federal Reserve announced several initiatives to support financial stability and to maintain a stable flow of credit to the economy during this period of significant strain in global markets.

The Fed commits to continue to adapt these liquidity facilities as necessary and will keep them in place as long as circumstances require.

Actions by the Federal Reserve include:  (1) an increase in the size of the 84-day maturity Term Auction Facility (TAF) auctions to $75 billion per auction from $25 billion beginning with the October 6 auction, (2) two forward TAF auctions totaling $150 billion that will be conducted in November to provide term funding over year-end, and (3) an increase in swap authorization limits with the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Danmarks Nationalbank (National Bank of Denmark), European Central Bank (ECB), Norges Bank (Bank of Norway), Reserve Bank of Australia, Sveriges Riksbank (Bank of Sweden), and Swiss National Bank to a total of $620 billion, from $290 billion previously.

These steps are being undertaken in an attempt to mitigate pressures evident in the term funding markets both in the United States and abroad.  The Federal Reserve’s actions are desiring to reassure financial market participants that financing will be available against good collateral, which they hope will lessen concerns about funding and rollover risk.

84-Day Maturity TAF Auctions
The increase to $75 billion per auction will triple the supply of 84-day maturity credit to $225 billion from $75 billion.  TAF credit at the 28-day maturity will remain at $75 billion.  The total amount of TAF credit available in the 28-day and 84-day auction cycles will double to $300 billion from $150 billion.

Foreign Exchange Swap Lines
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has authorized a $330 billion expansion of its temporary reciprocal currency arrangements (swap lines).  This increased capacity will be available to provide funding for U.S. dollar liquidity operations by the other central banks.  The FOMC has authorized increases in all of the temporary swap facilities with other central banks.  These larger facilities will now support the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity in amounts of up to $30 billion by the Bank of Canada, $80 billion by the Bank of England, $120 billion by the Bank of Japan, $15 billion by Danmarks Nationalbank, $240 billion by the ECB, $15 billion by the Norges Bank, $30 billion by the Reserve Bank of Australia, $30 billion by the Sveriges Riksbank, and $60 billion by the Swiss National Bank.  As a result of these actions, the total size of outstanding swap lines is $620 billion.

All of the temporary reciprocal swap facilities have been authorized through April 30, 2009.

Dollar funding rates abroad have been elevated relative to dollar funding rates available in the United States, reflecting a structural dollar funding shortfall outside of the United States.  The increase in the amount of foreign exchange swap authorization limits will enable many central banks to increase the amount of dollar funding that they can provide in their home markets.  This should help to improve the distribution of dollar liquidity around the globe. Whether the value of the dollar holds on the long term against inflation and deflation however is highly unlikely.

That being said, there are some short-term possible gains for those who invest in the dollar and substantial long-term gains for those who sell dollars while they are high and opt to invest and protect their savings in strong currencies such as the Euro and Chinese yuan. A more cautious and safe route for consumers and investors is also found in the safe haven of gold.

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IMF warns of financial meltdown – Eurozone Strengthens, U.S. Dollar Weakens

The IMF warns that the global financial system is on the brink of a massive meltdown, while France and Germany push ahead with a pan-European crisis response to try to prevent the worst global downturn in decades.

What can one do in such perilous times other than buy gold and invest your savings in Euros before the dollar becomes obsolete.

 

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At a joint news conference, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel said they had “prepared a certain number of decisions” to present at a Sunday meeting of European leaders as they work feverishly to restore blocked credit markets to working order.

International Monetary Fund stressed that time was running short after leading industrialized nations failed to agree on concrete measures to end the crisis at a meeting on Friday.

“Intensifying solvency concerns about a number of the largest U.S.-based and European financial institutions have pushed the global financial system to the brink of systemic meltdown,” IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn said.

Low levels of confidence in America’s financial system has caused widespread panic to swiftly sweep through global markets, driving stocks to a five-year low on Friday and prompting banks to protectively hoard cash. That has devastatingly choked off lending to businesses and households, threatening to turn a global economic recession into a dangerously deep depression for perhaps years. Many across America are losing their homes, as is now the case in Australia.

An emergency meeting of euro zone leaders on Sunday will discuss a bank rescue package, taking a British initiative to guarantee lending between banks as a reference point, a source close to the French presidency said.

France’s Sarkozy said euro zone countries were working on a joint solution, but declined to provide specifics. He planned to meet with British Prime Minister Gordon Brown shortly before Sunday’s euro zone gathering.

 

Britain’s rescue plan, launched last week, makes available 50 billion pounds ($86 billion) of taxpayers’ money for injection into its banks and, crucially, calls for underwriting interbank lending, which has all but frozen around the globe.

The world’s richest nations vowed on Friday to take all necessary steps to unfreeze credit markets and ensure banks can raise money but they offered no real specifics on a collective course of action to avert the recession threat. Hence can anyone be sure when so much is promised, but so little usually done in America?

In a surprisingly brief statement after a 3-1/2 hour meeting, the G7 — the United States, Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan — stopped short of backing the British interbank lending guarantee, something many on Wall Street saw as vital to end growing market panic.

Kenneth Rogoff, a Harvard University professor and former IMF chief economist, said the G7 would have been better served adopting some version of the British plan so that banks would feel confident enough to loosen their grip on lending.

“Saying that they’ll take all steps necessary leaves hanging the question of whether they know what is best and necessary,” he told Reuters. “It was a signature moment for the G7. I think markets are going to be very disappointed.”

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said markets needed time to digest a series of dramatic steps taken by world central banks in recent days, including pouring billions of dollars into financial markets and lowering interest rates in the broadest coordinated cut on record.

There are signs the U.S. economy is credit-starved and deteriorating fast. American auto makers have been hammered by the credit crunch. GM and Chrysler, two struggling auto makers, are considering a merger to secure cash and cut expenses.

Financial weekly Barron’s reported that GM was preparing to approach the U.S. Federal Reserve about borrowing money directly from the central bank. Many wonder just how many companies and banks the central bank in the United States can bail out before going bankrupt itself?

Some speculate the FDIC insuring American banks deposits will declare bankruptcy next.

What can one do in such perilous times other than buy gold and invest your savings in Euros before the dollar becomes obsolete.

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G7 Finance Ministers and Central Banks Governors Coordinate, Collaborate, and Consolidate

G7 Finance Ministers and Central Banks Governors set to coordinate, collaborate, and consolidate to survive global financial turmoil. U.S. Treasury and Central Bank prepare for global integration and inflation of the dollar as it prints more currency.

 

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As U.S. credit markets deathly tighten to an economic standstill, the European Central Bank (ECB) is committed to prevent and thwart any inflation of the Euro. Meanwhile the ECB is showing the U.S. some temporary charity by providing between USD 40 and 50 billion in overnight operations, USD 40 billion in 28-day operations, USD 20 billion in each one of the 84-day operations and USD 20 billion in each one of the forward US dollar operations.

 

Nevertheless the ECB is retaining flexibility to react to changing market conditions to protect itself from U.S. hegemony and economic stupidity.

 

Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter blasted President Bush for his foolish economic policies causing $1 trillion indebtedness to China. The atrocious economic policies of the Bush administration has caused the worst global financial crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Profligate spending, massive borrowing and dramatic tax cuts since President George W. Bush took office in 2001 are fully behind the market turmoil and economic crisis.

 

The economic situation is an entrenched problem, which is going to take years to correct what has been done economically. Eight years ago, the United States had a budget surplus, low inflation and a stable, strong economy. However deregulation and withdrawal of supervision on Wall Street has encouraged irresponsibility in the U.S. financial system, enabling banks to borrow 30 times their value.

 

The G-7 have their hands full as they try to help the U.S. economy that has yet to guaranty interbank loans. If a national government does not insure and believe in its own banking system, how can its people have any degree of confidence?

 

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Finance ministers from the world’s top economies posed for pictures and pledged Friday to work together to stabilize global financial markets, but did not provide concrete plans to address the credit chaos sweeping the world.

 

The G-7 agrees that the current situation calls for urgent and exceptional action. Although they commit to continue working together to stabilize financial markets and restore the flow of credit, to support global economic growth, nobody has been transparent enough to tell us how.

 

Paulson emphasized collaboration and coordination, which signals eventual consolidation as Pres. Bush has for the past 8 years given U.S. debt to foreign nations. Paulson himself has previously prepared American citizens in talks about more financial institutions failing.

 

General Motors plummeted to a third of its original value with credit markets freezing up.

The so called assets in the failing mortgage industry are toxic and dafaulted assets at best, which few want.

 

The finance ministers have their work cut out for them. They surely must announce concrete steps by the end of the weekend if they want to soothe the roiling markets. The stock markets throughout the world are not responding to cheap talk and press hype. We need to see real action. Any thing less tells me central banks are conspiring to consolidate and devalue national currencies so as to usher in a new world order.

 

The Dow Jones industrial average fell over 1,874 points, or 18%, in its worst weekly decline ever on both a point and percentage basis. Wall Street lost roughly $2.4 trillion in market value during the week.

 

Markets worldwide fared no better, with every major exchang losing. Black Friday as it was called in Australia caused stock markets to take an 8% nosedive adding to a 42% drop in a year within the Aussie market. The Japanse stocket market has lost 53% this year thus far. Russia’s index has fallen 61% as investors pull out money and flee for cover. The UK’s top companies have fallen 21%.  Germany’s market fell 7% and 28% on the week.

 

There is no containing the deepening global financial crisis. Central Banks and the Federal Reserve coordinated interest rate cuts did not soothe nervous investors.

The Fed lowered its benchmark interest rate by a half-point to 1.5%. The European Central Bank, which had kept rates unchanged as the Fed engaged in a string of rate cuts over the last year, cut its rate by a half-point to 3.75% – its first cut in five years. The Bank of England also cut its rate by a half-point to 4.5%. The Swiss, Canadian and Swedish central banks also made cuts. Yet the Libor rate rose disproportionately eliminating the usefulness of any cuts as indicated in the markets which failed to respond.

 

The Dutch and Belgian governments took over Fortis, before selling pieces of it to BNP Paribas. The British are nationalizing mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley.

And some nations, including Ireland, France and Germany, have said that all bank deposits will be insured by their governments for the time being.

 

Afraid to insure their own bank deposits to the full the United States and United Kingdom are developing plans to inject capital into banks, which would entail acquiring stakes in the institutions.

 

Some speculate the G-7 countries can work through this crisis by dealing with bad assets, recapitalizing banks, and providing much needed liquidity. Other economists predict it will take up to 2 years to fully work through the economic problems created over the past 8 years. Fixing the financial, regulatory, and supervisory system that failed will take time and not be done overnight.

 

Each country, of course, will have to take steps to address its particular problems.

U.S. Treasury Paulson himself mentioned that the press and some markets are naive to think that different countries with different financial systems – and different political systems, different laws – are going to come up with precisely the same policy to deal with the issues.

 

That being said, I am betting on the European Central Bank where China, Russia, Iran, OPEC, Dubai, and other major global financial players are putting their assets and foreign currency reserves. When China who holds $1 trillion in U.S. debt begins to diversify after the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fiasco, look for chaos to surface and devastate U.S. markets and plunge the dollar to the basement.

 

Billionaires George Soros, Warren Buffet, and American hedge fund manager John Paulson are betting against the dollar. I’m putting my money therefore in gold or Euros.

 

Care to join me?

 

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Buy Euros while the dollar is strong before Wall Street reveals disaster and bankruptcy in America. Warnings from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Central Banks across the world. Turmoil for global financial markets. Buy Euros or gold now!

 

Warnings from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Central Banks across the world. Turmoil and serious consequences for global financial markets. Buy gold or Euros to protect your savings.

 

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Bernanke’s fiscal policy speech to the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) on July 8, 2008 calling the U.S. economy in “turmoil” was quite revealing. Meanwhile Bernanke and Paulson reported to the media and American people the economy was fundamentally strong.

 

Bernanke told the BIS in July, 2008 it is “Unrealistic to think financial crisis can be eliminated”.

 

The euro was used in around 37% of all foreign exchange transactions in April, 2007.

 

Protect your savings!

 

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